anywhere from the keys to jacksonville. the u.s. virgin islands was spared the brunt of the storm. you can see some of the images. the virgin islands did get strong winds and rain, but as far as we can so far no overwhelming damage like hurricanes maria and irma. meteorologist chad myers has been going over the data in the weather center. this thing is getting stronger and headed right at florida. >> 5:00 a.m. now brings 125 mile-per-hour storm along the florida coast. there are still a couple of models that will turn it farther to the north up toward jacksonville and farther north than that, but the major number of models we believe bringing it right north of miami, south of the space coast as 125 mile or more hurricane. so that's category 3 only five miles from a category 4 storm. those are the updates from

really the overnight hours. nothing has truly been updated, i think, since then. hurricane hunter in it. it's an 85 mile-per-hour storm moving away from san juan. we're going to lose radar presentation quite quickly, because the only radar out there is from puerto rico and it's getting so far away, you cannot really see the eye anymore. so we're going to rely on satellites for awhile. there's no real radars there in the bahamas we can use. so we'll watch the satellite, where it goes from here. the big story is the model data bringing it in at 125 or some is a little bit higher than that 130 mile-per-hour storm in the central part of the storm. and it's still in that cone, guys. so we're going to watch this thing. it is a lot of time in some very warm water. not much sheer, not much dry air, and a lot of time to gain strength. >> what happens when it gets over florida? >> couple of different things. many of the storms are trying to

slow the storm down before it gets to the coast which means the outer bands would lash florida for a very long time. another model actually stops it very close to ki si mee. but typical hurricanes slowing down or possibly stalling. which is what we would not want from an hurricane putting out inches and inches of water an hour. >> all right, chad. be on standby for us all morning because we'll check back as the models continue to change. so florida's entire east coast is on alert for this monster hurricane on the way. residents are already stocking up and emergency managers hope that all people there take this threat seriously. nick valencia is live on the ground for us in daiytona beach. what's the situation there?

>> reporter: good morning, alisyn. this weekend would usually be one of the busiest weekends for florida's beaches. but instead the state is bracing for the category 3 hurricane, preparing for the worst. a rush to prepare for the worst in florida. under a state of emergency as hurricane dorian takes aim at the mainland u.s. after sparing puerto rico and the virgin islands of significant damage. all across the state, gridlock at the pump. >> just getting prepared before the storm comes. >> reporter: residents stocking up, stripping grocery store shelves nearly bare with bottled water harder and harder to find. they're filling up thousands of sandbags too. >> better safe than sorry. >> reporter: urging people to be prepared. >> the impacts are unpredictable in what with will it be. will it be the flooding, will it be downed power lines? just prepared and be ready. >> in their preparedness to be ready, we're not exactly sure

where this storm is going to go, but you need to start preparing now if you're in the coastal communities for sure. >> reporter: the caribbean islands feeling dorian's strength with wind gusts as high as 85 miles per hour. tree branches and debris scattered across the u.s. and british virgin islands. heavy rains filling the streets with water. ripping off some of the blue tarps still covering buildings in the time since hurricane maria hit two years ago. >> the damage right now are primarily to the islands of st. thomas and st. john. we still have crews remaining here from irma and maria that are doing restoration. >> reporter: dorian could be the fifth hurricane to impact the state of florida in the last four years. some residents here, john, not taking any chances. >> nor should they, nick. and they should use these days to get ready for what appears to be a direct impact somewhere along that coast. our thanks to nick valencia for that. hurricane hunters have been

up flying several missions a day to get data for the forecasts for the meteorologists. we have some images captured above a noaa plane flying through dorian's eye yesterday. this is that footage. joining us now on the phone is noaa flight director paul flaherty. paul, thank you for being with us. you were up in dorian's business four times yesterday including once overnight. tell us what you saw. >> good morning. thank you for having us. the crew i've been flying with, we have flown for the last four days in support of hurricane dorian missions and forecasts. what started off as pretty much a messy storm as you have probably followed has really started to change quickly. it's a storm moved more northward and more into a favorable environment. so we've seen that transition. we've been following it. we've been mapping what's happening inside the storm and the surrounding area to help with track forecasts. some good news is there's dry

air to the south. dorian is moving away from the dry air, that part is bad news. but if we could keep the dry air coming in, maybe it won't be as strong it models indicate. >> if the dry air mssing with the eye wall, it could weaken things as had it passes over the warm water. is that what you're saying? >> that's our hope. we've been finding it consistently down there. the models aren't really hitting that as a big factor as it does move. as you see, many of them are starting to forecast it to become strong as a category 3. so it's certainly moving away from that environment. just being hopeful that it maybe slows down. >> this storm really seemed to catch a lot of people by surprise. beginning of the four days, it was a disorganized mess. it got itself together and it moved over this land. tell us about that. >> yeah. in fact, we were flying out of st. croix originally and decided to make the move to barbados

just to be safe. even though at the time, st. croix didn't look like it was under much of a threat. but that changed quickly as the storm sort of reorganized and took a slightly different path and moved away from that dry air to the south. >> so paul, you live in lakeland, florida. home is lakeland, florida. and in these maps, it's possible that is exactly where this storm could hit. how's your family? how are you going to handle your dual roles there having to take care of that while in these missions? >> it weighs on the minds of all the crews here. it was the same case when we were flying hurricane irma a couple of years ago. we have a job to do. we are working for the public and we want to ensure the public is informed and can make the right decisions and let the hurricane forecasters, emergency managers have the best information they have. that will make not only our families but all the families in this case all across florida a little bit safer. so, yeah, we come home, we

sleep, and we go back and fly. we take about one hour -- a little less time than others have to prepare hour homes before we head out and fly again. >> what you're doing is helping people be safer because they have three days now to get things together. get ready, florida. because if you wait, it will be too late. paul flaherty, thank you for what you do and being with us this morning. the president is, quote, rattled as the election ramps up. so what is causing the anxiety? we have that and a revealing new interview with former defense secretary jim mattis. next. you brush, you may have gingivitis. and the clock could be ticking towards bad breath, receding gums, and possibly... tooth loss. help turn back the clock on gingivitis with parodontax. leave bleeding gums behind. parodontax.

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plus no payments for up to 90 days. only at your lincoln dealer. cnn has new reporting this morning that the president is rattled. sources tell cnn the the economy is flashing warning signs trump didn't expect. his trade war is dragging on months longer than expected yet he isn't giving in. and his chief promise to supporters that he would build a wall along the southern border has gone unfulfilled. he is searching for an accomplishment to run on in 2020. joining us now frank bruni, sarah isgur, and john avalon. this is new cnn reporting, john. and i think it informs everything we are seeing this week. by that i mean the president's

orders to subordinates to build the wall even if you have to break the law and i'll pardon you? it informs the attacks on of all places fox news. >> what? >> what? it tells us why he's doing what he's doing this week. >> i think it helps explain why he's had a particularly unhinged two weeks. i mean, last week was one for the record books with a lot of references. this week you're starting to see the wheels come off. in his intensity to try to finish this core accomplishment as he sees it. >> or start it, by the way. >> yeah. get credit for it in the eyes of his supporters. the fact again that he ordered subordinates to break the law and he would use the power of the pardon to enable them to commit illegal acts, that's a sign of -- that's a totally different dimension of seriousness. he should have been able to see the economy coming. trade wars aren't good and easy to win. but consequences are not

something that often enter into this president's consciousness. >> sarah, you have your hand on the pulse of the republican base. the idea he was going to build a wall resonated at his rallies. and back then during the campaign, he promised a thousand miles of wall. that he said it over and other, a thousand miles. now what they're saying in their campaign releases is they are building the wall. 60 miles of refurbished fencing. fencingthat? is the base going to be satisfied with that? >> this is going to be his read my lips. this was he chief promise. what supporters rallied thinking this was going to be the mark of his presidency. and i think though as far as whether that will be effective,

while ru furbi refurbishing wil enough. are they willing to say here was his chief promise to you and he didn't do it. are they really going to try to go after trump voters or simply going to energize their base? what we've seen the last few elections have really been base elections. not independent voter elections. but i think democrats when looking at these debates should be looking for someone who can make that case. because i think it's a very strong one with trump's voters. >> what interests me is sort of, again, the full picture of the behavior we're seeing with the wall discussion, with the fox news discussion. and i was reading an op-ed in "the new york times," let me quote from it. >> was it brilliant? >> it was by frank bruni. frank suggests -- and i'm talking about as he's beside me -- that the more the president does this, it will hurt him. i wouldn't be surprised if voters conclude they just can't continue to live like this and

that four more years would be ruinous if not to the country as a whole, then to our individual psyches. >> i think voters are exhausted with the melodrama. and there are a lot of things trump can blame on other people. but he can't blame the melodrama on democrats' doorsteps, on fake news. just go to his twitter account and look at the volume and vitriol of what he tweets. people elected trump, many of those who did, because they don't like politics and washington. now it's all they hear about all time. it's so pervasive it's ambient. i think they're tired of it and they realize however you align or don't align with him idiologically, it's not good for themselves. they don't like all of this drama around them all the time. >> they're sick of winning? >> they're sick of whining. i think they're sick of all of this. they elected him because they wanted a washington that worked better. instead they have late season

house of cards. you know, something that's burlesque. >> let's talk about what happened with jim mattis. he was former defense secretary under president trump. now he's speaking out. he has a book coming out. now there are these moments. and so let's see what we want to read here. >> what's interesting is a series of interviews published a few minutes ago where you get even further insight into mattis' thinking. >> what's your favorite? >> i think mattis talks about why he hasn't been for vocal about the president. mattis talks about what he calls a duty of silence. >> the duty of silence if you leave an administration, you owe some silence. when you leave an administration

over clear policy differences, you need to give the people who are still there as much opportunity to defend the country. okay. the one i think is more telling is this next one. >> i like that one, but go ahead. >> we will take it to the poll in a minute. next, you don't endanger the country by attacking the commander in chief. i may not like a commander in chief one freaking bit, but our system puts the commander in chief there and to further weaken him up against real threats, we could be at war on the korean peninsula every time they launch something. the tell there is the "one freaking bit" part. >> that's what your attention? >> he didn't need to add that part. >> i think this is a tension military commanders particularly those in the orbit of the white house often have. it's something called honor we become unacquainted with in recent years in politics. where they feel a special duty and i think this is true with kelly and h.r. mcmaster and others who have served in the

orbit of this white house where they're trying to help the commander in chief prop up the constitutional order even if they disagree with the president's instincts, impulses, and decisions. they try to keep that private. the question is, heading into a re-election, if you've had unique insight into a person's capability, is there a larger obligation to tell the american people that before they go in the voting booth? >> our friend writes this morning, does he owe the president silence or does he owe america truth? >> i think he's wrestling with that. the best thing about this interview is you see him wrestling with that in realtime. trump has burned staff. that means there are more refugees from this administration, imbitered out there than any normal administration. and that is going to be a dynamic for november 2020. it may not be mattis who ultimately talks in a way that captures attention. he has burned through all of

these people, most of them have left on bad terms. most of them have left feeling very awkward at best about their service to the administration. i think we're going hear from them before november 2020. >> sarah, one more thing according to mattis' friends, his aides and friends said he found the president to be of dubious character. he's not saying that but the people around him are saying he expressed those feelings. so what do you think? what do you make of mattis coming forward? and is he speaking loudly enough to get people's attention? >> i find the most interesting question here why he left when he did. he does try to explain in the excerpt we were looking at yesterday. there's certainly an ambience around goldberg's piece that gets to that. and a lot of people and i think john's point is well made. a lot of them in the military believe they have the sense of duty and need good people in government. it can't be the case you disagree with your boss, you

resign. no one agrees 100% of the time. but at what point do you leave? mattis picked a specific point, but we should assume there were many points before that he didn't agree with the president. how long do you serve for and when do you leave? i think that's a version of what we're all trying to get at that perhaps general mattis would be helping the country if he discussed his philosophy on that might get to this. >> do you think he will, sarah? >> i think that we've seen about as much leg as we're going to see from general mattis. i hope we will hear more of his thoughts on service, but i don't think we'll hear a lot more on the president. >> easy with the leg showing references there with jim mattis. i don't know. it's a little early in the morning for that. >> he's a good looking man. >> all right. duly noted. >> some reason i'm thinking garters right now. all right. thank you. furious backlash after british prime minister boris johnson's decision to suspend

parliament and drag the queen into the dprbrexit political crisis. we have a live report from london next. you wouldn't accept an incomplete job from any one else. why accept it from your allergy pills? flonase relieves your worst symptoms including nasal congestion, which most pills don't. flonase helps block 6 key inflammatory substances. most pills only block one. flonase. ♪ (music plays throughout)♪ ♪

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the breaking news this morning, hurricane dorian is getting stronger and it's headed right at florida with potentially dangerous impact right on labor day as a category 3 or maybe category 4 storm. let's go straight to meteorologist chad myers with the latest forecast. >> good morning, john. a little bit earlier, you asked me what does the storm do when it gets to florida? let me show you this timeline? because i can break this cone down. this is the three-day cone. basically where we are now, where we will be in 24 hours, where we will be in 48 hours, and where we will be in 72 hours. fairly equally spaced ed out.

now let me move you forward to the next spot here. that is another 24 hours. that line's not so far away from the others. it's kind of closer. and this is the next 24 hours. very much closer. which means the storm is slowing its forward progression from almost 15 miles per hour down to 7 or 8 as it makes landfall or something out there. still could turn to the right and out to the ocean. these are the big landfalls from the area. those are the potentials because of the water temperature. almost 90 degrees out there. that's the fuel to the fire for this storm. begins to get away from us now on the san juan radar. not going to be able to get that on the radar for very much longer. it'll be a satellite storm until it gets close to florida. >> all right. we'll just hope that dorian gets

that memo to turn right and go back out to sea. so please keep us posted. all right. meanwhile, now to international news, protesters taking to the streets of london after queen elizabeth approved british prime minister boris johnson's request to suspend parliament. it give z i had opponents less time. max foster joins us now from london. give us the historical significance of everything that happened yesterday. >> reporter: effectively what we've had the last couple of years is where parliament has wanted to remain within the european union. the public voted to leave. and now we have a government which is determined to leave no matter what. end of october. now we have a situation to take control away from parliament by reducing the amount of time they have to block this. so he's reducing the amount of time parliament is open next

month. that's seen by many as undemocratic particularly amongst the opposition parties. >> shutting down parliament in order to force through a no deal brexit which will do untold and lasting damage to the country against the wishes of mps is not democracy. it's dictatorship. and if mps don't come together next week to stop boris johnson in his tracks, then i think today will go down in history as the uk democracy died. >> reporter: now, boris johnson's side, a spoke to a few of them yesterday. they argue that isn't the case. if he really wanted to undermine, he would have suspended parliament until after brexit. >> limit those who want to block brexit. limit their options. what options do they have left? >> reporter: well, they were absolutely called out yesterday

and are scrambling today. so gene miller a prominent antibrexit campaign. she launched a legal action hoping she can get an injunction against the governent in the courts. separately the opposition parties are organizing an emergency debate for next week. effectively it means they have a week to organize some sort of alternative plan which they're really up against. and boris johnson knows that. he's definitely put them on the front foot. >> the royal family has made a point of staying out of politics. why did the queen get involved in this yesterday? >> well, she has to respond to the prime minister. she's currently on holiday up in scotland. and the prime minister very quietly sent up a few of his team up to scotland, privy council members and basically got agreement from the queen to suspend parliament. she has to react on that. we didn't know anything about it until it was announced. so opposition party members said they wanted to appeal to the queen, but it was all too late.

she doesn't like being dragged into these situations. it's getting increasingly difficult for her to avoid the politics. so she is in a difficult position. and that's a big problem, actually, here in london. many people saying the prime minister has put the queen in a difficult position which you really don't want to do. >> all right, max. thank you very much for explaining all of this to us. i see your knowing glare over at me. >> and again, i'm contractually obligating to never criticize the royal family. but she's obligated to do what the prime minister asks, right? >> and is doing so. >> right. but people are looking at her saying she's in a tough position. what were the alternative? if she said no to the prime minister, she would be ruling which would call the bluff of the royal family. then she would be a dictator. >> yeah. it's a pickle. it's a real political pickle. meanwhile, another democratic candidate drops out of the democratic race. now it's down to a measly 20

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senator kirsten gillibrand, the latest democrat to leave the

presidential race after failing to make the debate stage next month. what does this mean for the other candidates and the future of the race? by that i mean the presidential race. >> not the human race? >> thank you for clarifying that. >> back with us is frank bruni, sarah isgur, and john avalon. john, is this a harbinger of something? the fact gillibrand was one of the first to go? >> gillibrand momentum never happened, but its spirit lives on. look, this was a candidacy that never really took off. it was on her, i think, yolo to do list. it didn't -- >> but just on that note for one second -- >> and lots of people run for president simply because it's something they want to cross off the list apparently. >> okay. but i think that her issue or the market that she wanted to corner was women's issues and the me too moment. and i guess those just didn't catch fire. >> i wouldn't blame it on the moment as much as the messenger.

i think there was blowback she faced in the party for the role she played in forcing franken out. but i don't think that can account for her candidacy. she tried to frame everything through not only women's issues but mom's issues. that's an issue that should be relatable but didn't quite connect. but this is a very broad feel. she didn't have a distinct lane. there are a lot of senators running. you know, kamala harris and amy klobuchar and others who will be on the debate stage. i don't think she will be particularly missed because she never particularly caught fire. >> i will note two things. sorry, frank, i didn't mean to interrupt. but she thought she could win. i have another thought. >> there is a larger lesson in her exit from the race. when you put one issue -- you mentioned me too in that. when you put one issue far in the foreground, you risk coming

across as a one-issue candidate. look at jay inslee. he said it was all about climate change. she didn't say it buzz her candidacy was grounded in me too. they want in their presidential candidates a much more kind of diverse and broader pallet of issues. >> the point is with gillibrand out, are we going to be down to ten effectively? is it just going to be the candidates on the debate stage? is there a reason to believe we'll get more announcements in the next several days? >> yes. we're down to ten. there may be one or two more candidates that can request for the october debate as we've seen. the october debate rules will be the same as the september debate but give you another month to qualify. even so, i think this will look like the debate stage. and it would be smart for other candidates to drop out at this point. i think what we saw with senator

gillibrand is the downside of running for president. it doesn't always help you. and i think she came off poorly in this race. i agree with frank entirely that a one-issue campaign usually doesn't work very well. but i think in particular with this, it came off as a caricature. there are other women running for president who were able to talk about all of the issues, but for senator gillibrand, it sounded like a caricature of a female candidate. like she was pandering. democrats are up with women by 30 points and none were interested in gillibrand. that should speak to the moment. they want a female nominee, but they want a female nominee who's just running for president. not a female nominee. >> john, for the other ten candidates that are not going to make the debate stage, are they running for vice president? are they running for cabinet positions? i mean, what is their play now? >> look, i don't think you stay in a race simply to run for vice president. you need to show some momentum. but i think there's also another

question about whether they're staying in the race adds something that the democrats don't currently have. the fact there are currently -- there's only one governor left running for president is a big deal. you want folks who can run in red states and win swing states? that's why i think bullock should stay in despite the fact he hasn't because he's got his own lane. because he still has his own lane and i think he could make the debate stage. tom steyer is going to stay in because he's got all the money in the world, apparently. >> he can buy his own lane. >> bullock is staying in for the same reason that bennet is staying in, tim ryan is staying in. you've got two progressives bernie and elizabeth doing well. joe biden, will he go the distance, will he falter? there are people that want to be the moderate alternative should biden falter. the question is can they stay in long enough that if that falter happens, they're still around. >> with all due respect to gillibrand, a bigger development

yesterday may have been the announcement of the retirement of johnny isakson. this means there will be two open senate seats in georgia which is getting swingier in 2020, sarah. so as a republican looking at this, and we know one or two senate seats could tip the balance of power, how concerned should republicans be that control of the senate is in jeopardy? >> this is a big test for both parties. we also have a race in texas as well. there are two open seats. you're going have two options. can the parties, you know, work this out in georgia? and i think that there will be a ton of money spent in georgia. a lot of that, this will in a lot of ways be its own presidential race in georgia now. i think it's a huge deal for texas and georgia to show whether they are, in fact, turning purple. i think all indications are that they haven't been up until now. texas in particular, tons of

money. every two years someone says it's turning purple and the republican wins by sometimes double digits. but with trump on the ticket and two open seats in georgia, i think that that's going to cost both parties a lot. >> yeah. but reality check georgia for a second. it's in the deep south. there hasn't been -- folks haven't been able to flip it. but donald trump's approval rating in georgia is 40%. 56% disapprove. that's stunning for a state in the south. the question will be does stacey abrams who said again yesterday she's not getting in, can she be persuaded? because that changes the dynamic on the ground for the critical seats. if democrats don't win the senate but the win the presidency, it could be a victory for them in terms of the changes they want to make. >> if they can't win either open seat in georgia, it shows maybe the purple notion isn't as true as people think it might be. thank you. so it had people waiting in

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there was a heated town hall meeting in st. louis with community members demanding action on the epidemic of gun violence. at least 12 children have been shot and killed in that city this summer. ryan young is live in st. louis with more. so what happened last night, ryan? >> reporter: as you'd imagine, people were very upset. you're talking about 12 kids killed since april. and you can understand why people are very upset. we talked to several families that are asking for answers. >> we need to be talking about what's going on. let's take our city back! >> reporter: during a community town hall in downtown st. louis, passionate outrage against the gun violence epidemic.

>> our nation and this community have reached a tipping point. gun violence is a public health emergency. it's an emergency. >> reporter: losses beyond reason when children are running from bullets. two sisters and a friend, too young to be saying this. >> i miss his laugh. i miss his voice. >> reporter: they were all playing with 7-year-old xavier in their back yard when gunfire broke out down the block. a bullet hit him in the throat. >> i be mad and sad sometimes. >> reporter: she could only watch as violence in the neighborhood only take another child. hers. >> it's really time for change. we're killing more kids than we can keep count of. >> reporter: that message repeated by at least a dozen families in st. louis. that's how many kids have been killed here just since april. the youngest, only 2. the pain hard to watch.

>> the happy memories we had ain't even enough. >> reporter: these families told us they want the nation to feel their pain. if the photos aren't enough, listen to this man. a bystander. he tried to save journey thompson. >> she was unresponsive. tried to find the bullet wound. found it in her abdomen. you could see the life leaving her. >> reporter: journey was hit when shots rang out outside a high school football game. >> journey was a lover, a protector, a fighter. >> reporter: her father says journey wanted to be a police officer. she was always the protector. >> things will not just be the same anymore. my house is dry. >> reporter: john, i don't know if you could imagine this, but we were talking to several of these families. they have other kids in the household and now they have personally touched by all that is going on. a lot of these murderers haven't

been caught yet. community leaders were saying there's an urban decay going on that has to stop somehow. but so far there are no short solutions to this long-term problem. >> thank you so much for telling us the names and showing us the faces. because these aren't just numbers. these are lives. they're husbands and wives and sisters and brothers and children. children being killed there. it's important to know about them. thank you so much. >> that was so effective and so affecting, ryan's piece there. and including the sort of collateral damage of even people who try to save their lives and people who witnessed it. and one last thing, you know, if cities can sue opioid manufacturers for an epidemic, why can't they sue gun manufacturers for the epidemic of gun violence? all right. we're keeping a close eye on hurricane dorian. we're getting new information and new data. this forecast has it straight to

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so this is big. popeye's is saying if you were too chicken to wait an hour to get its popular sandwich, its chicken sandwich, you're too late. it's sold out. some fans very upset after the company released this highly produced video about their fried chicken sandwich shortage. >> when you get 5 million people on social media talking about this sandwich is good -- >> what? no. >> we're sold out of chicken sandwiches. sold out in four hours. ♪ >> to be clear, the chicken place is sold out of chicken sandwiches. >> i got that. chicken too little. >> which is sketchy, all right?

joining us now are chicken expe expert. >> love that chick en at popeye's. oh, yeah. here's me and the spicy chicken. here's me and of course josh campbell. laura, sorry, i couldn't get you in the photo but you're a beautiful person inside and out. i had the popeye's chicken sandwich. gave it an a-plus. it's for real. >> you're proving you like chicken sandwiches here. >> i love it. i tried to get it again. visited four locations, all were sold out. >> were they all sold out? >> all sold out. put that emphasis on there. that video had over 4 million views, was it all a marketing ploy? i don't know. l maybe they're trying to get into that kfc territory. kfc is the worldwide leader.

>> you're suggesting this could all be a scam. they're not really sold out of chicken sandwiches. it's a marketing ploy to make people more -- >> i'm suggesting my stomach. >> what does the data tell you. >> here's another little nugget for you. popularity ratings, popeye's was at the bottom. 57%. these are grouped up. maybe they're trying to get up there a little bit more. >> this is serious stuff and i don't want to divert you from this -- >> but we do have a kicker. >> yeah. something actually unusual happened in the world of polling yesterday which is a pollster basically said, not we screwed up but one thing was different from the other. >> monmouth university, t they said we released an outlier poll and in the end we must put the numbers we have out there. i agree with him. just to give you context here. this was the big number. biden was down at 19% versus all the other polls that had him up

near 30%. to me it's an important thing to put those outliers out there. good pollsters have outliers because the margin of error covers just 19 of 20 cases and it turns out sometimes the outliers are the correct numbers. and they make the averages better. >> you agree even when there's a weird number, they should still publicize it? >> absolutely. 100%. >> and people just need to understand what the margin of error means and what the sample size is and all those things. >> that's my job. >> senior chicken correspondent, thank you very much. >> thank you. something's going to happen. >> no, it's not. you're going to read this. >> all right. hurricane dorian is posing a threat to the state of florida. "new day" continues right now. >> well done. welcome to our viewers in the united states and all around the world. this is "new day" and we begin with breaking news on hurricane

dorian. this storm is getting stronger and getting stronger quickly out in the open and very warm water of the atlantic. it's getting bigger. it's getting stronger as it takes direct aim at florida. it could make landfall at a category 3 hurricane or perhaps even stronger right over the holiday weekend. >> florida's governor has declared a state of emergency in 26 counties. though exactly where dorian will make landfall is still not clear. millions of residents from key west to jacksonville are on high alert at this hour. meanwhile, puerto rico and the u.s. virgin islands were spared the worst of dorian. there were strong winds as you can see and rain. but no significant damage like we saw from hurricanes maria and irma back in 2017. so let's get right to meteorologist